Pick Receipt

🏈CFB: Sam Houston State +1.5 (-110) Need to get back in the win column. I have Sam Houston winning by around 1.88 points here, money line should be fine. It looks like we are getting the better team at home as a dog. The main reason for this is because the Bearkats failed to cover as +14.5 underdogs against a good Liberty team losing 3-35, on the road, while the Hilltoppers beat the bricks off Missouri state. However, the Bearkats are just a better team in my eyes, especially on the defensive side of the ball, as their pass success rate against and havoc% are in the top 60th to 70th percentile. I have them slightly as the better offense as well, and the models support this amount. SHSU is 2-0 ATS at home this season while the Hilltoppers can't cover on the road, 1-3 ATS. 🧡if you are tailing!