Pick Receipt

1/ Javonte Williams First Touchdown, +310. This is the strongest play in my model. Williams already has 6 touchdowns through four games and is getting at least 70% of Dallas’ red-zone rushing attempts. Dallas has one of the best red-zone offenses in football, while Tampa Bay is starting a rookie QB on the road. That gives Dallas a strong chance of creating the first real scoring opportunity. Tampa’s run defense is good, but once Dallas gets inside the five, Williams is still the player I expect them to lean on first.