Pick Receipt

🏈CFB: Louisville Cardinals -3 (-128) This was a lot to buy a half point but this is -139 on pinnacle actually, so at least we are beating that book. Buying low and selling high on the Seminoles, as they beat the Cavs 38-7 last week and are still underdogs here. The ACC is a mess, this same FSU team lost to SMU at home, that same SMU team lost to the Cardinals at home, where this Louisville team lost in NC state last week. Absolute mess. Model has Louisville winning by a 4.86 margin, if I saw this line at +6 i would have taken it when it opened but we are here now. I just think everyone will be thinking about that 38-7 win over Virginia, but going on the road on a short week against a conference opponent who got upset feels like they might be overestimating FSU. Road teams returning home that failed to cover on a Friday night are 99-48 ATS since 2016. FSU hasn't won a game on the road since November 25, 2023, losing 10 straight games on the road. Hoping the Cards can add to this streak. Even with the Cardinals injuries, I think their backups can show up at home. ❤️if you are tailing!