Pick Receipt

MEMPHIS @ TULANE: Tulane +7 | Over 54.5 | Jaylin Carter O89.5 rush yds 📈 Market: Pinnacle has held 7 all week even with 72% of spread tickets on Memphis. The total has gone up two points (52.5 → 54.5), with team totals of Memphis 30.5 and Tulane 23.5 at FanDuel. The weather is going to be ugly, BIG wind gusts, yet this total is still climbing. 📊 Trends: • Tulane has covered 4 straight vs Memphis and won 3 of them (38-28, 31-21, 38-32) • The last 4 meetings combined for 66, 52, 58 and 70 points (61.5 avg), and 3 of 4 went over • Memphis road games since '22: 17-8 to the over • AAC conference overs since '22: 161-133 (+12.5u) • Tulane as an underdog since '22: 7-4 ATS • Carter is over 89.5 in 4 of 6 (183, 95, 97, 132) 🔍 Matchup: Memphis averages 247 rushing yds (7th) at 7.2 YPC from Carter, plus 7.6 yds/play (4th) and 49.3% on 3rd down (22nd). Tulane's run D is 133rd (218.6 ypg) and just gave up 329 rushing yds to Army. Tulane allows 49.4% on 3rd down (134th) and has 0 INTs. It cuts both ways, though. Memphis's D is 107th in yds/play allowed and 112th vs the run, and Tulane's backs have broken out with Maurice Turner (277 yds on 26 carries) and Jaylin Lucas (214 vs South Alabama). Tulane also converts 90% of its red-zone trips into TDs. Both teams can run, and neither can stop it. Next, a QB problem in West Lafayette 👇